Thursday, May 10, 2012, 11:01 AM
President Obama appears to have gone against the safest read of polling data on gay marriage,2012 FRANKLIN & MARSHALL, with support for legalization underwater in a handful of swing states and among key Obama constituencies like Hispanics and black voters.
In Ohio, a forthcoming PPP survey exclusively shared with POLITICO,Buy Franklin & Marshall T-Shirts, shows 35 percent of voters support same sex marriage according, with 52 percent opposed. Those numbers are similar to an October 2011 poll from the same firm showing 32 percent support, 55 percent opposed.
In Pennsylvania, a March PPP poll put opposition to gay marriage at 50 percent,Franklin & Marshall, with only 38 percent approval. But a 2011 Franklin and Marshall poll showed that 50 percent of voters supported a constitutional amendment allowing gays to get marriage.
Same-sex marriage is also opposed by a plurality of voters in Iowa and Virginia in PPP polls both battleground states. In Iowa, however, a 2012 Des Moines Register poll showed that 56 percent of voters opposed overturning gay marriage in the state via a constitutional amendment. Same-sex marriage polls above water in New Hampshire and Colorado, according to both PPP and a 2012 WMUR poll.
And in Florida, a fall survey shows gay marriage support at 38 percent approval, 48 percent disapproval. Thats in line with a number of other polls of the Sunshine state.
Among African-Americans, 55 percent remained opposed to gay marriage in a yearlong composite of ABC/Washington Post polling data. Thats down significantly from earlier in the decade, where two-in-three black voters opposed gay marriage but still a large chunck of the presidents most enthusiastic supporters.